LBI Real Estate Report December 2025

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This Week on LBI β€” Guarino Team
November Market Recap β€” Guarino Team

November Market Recap

The Fall Market Comes to a Close

The Fall 2025 market is now officially closed on LBI, and this season marked a dramatic shift from the previous Fall cycles. From 2020–2024, the island averaged 197 new listings during September through November. This year, we saw just 134 β€” over 30% fewer than past years. That shortage reshaped the entire landscape, and based on current trends, it now appears likely that inventory could remain in double digits straight through the winter until the Spring market arrives.

Even with buyer demand running as hot as ever, the market remains surprisingly balanced. Buyers are active, motivated, and financially strong, but they’re also disciplined β€” few are overpaying for homes, and only properly priced listings are getting immediate attention.

This Fall showed a clear divide: well-priced homes went under contract within the first or second weekend, while overpriced homes stalled, lingered into the winter, or were pulled from the market entirely.

With limited new supply and much of the existing inventory aging or mispriced, LBI enters November with record-low active listings and an unusually tight pool of available homes.

Market Recap Chart

December: One of the Best Months for Off-Market Opportunities

December is traditionally one of the best months for off-market opportunities on LBI. Many builders and homeowners plan to list in early 2026, but many of those homes, new constructions, and quiet upcoming offerings are available privately right now before they reach the MLS.

With so few compelling options on the public market, the off-market channel serves as a key advantage for buyers, granting access to opportunities that won’t surface publicly until after the New Year.

Market Minute

see our favorite
properties

Discover where the LBI market and mortgage rates are headed β€” and don’t miss our favorite active homes of the week in our latest market outlook.

Market Minute

see our favorite
properties

Discover where the LBI market and mortgage rates are headed β€” and don’t miss our favorite active homes of the week in our latest market outlook.

This Week on LBI β€” Guarino Team

December Outlook πŸ“Š

Buyer’s Outlook

December consistently brings the lowest buyer demand of the year, as most people shift into holiday mode and pause their search. Even though very few new listings typically hit the market this month, history shows that a few still come on each week, which can create quiet opportunities for buyers who stay tuned in.

From an aging-inventory standpoint, the current market also tells an important story: 25 of the 87 active properties on LBI have been on the market for over 100 days. Homes that sit this long are often overpriced, and in many cases seller expectations begin to soften. These listings are easy to overlook, but they can present real opportunities, especially if the seller is becoming more flexible and the home hasn’t attracted meaningful interest.

With inventory entering winter at unprecedented lows, buyers who remain active, informed, and thoughtful in their approach will be in the strongest position to secure a property ahead of the 2026 summer season. For those targeting the sub-$2M range, staying engaged is especially critical. Of the 112 closings we saw this Fall, 58 were under $2 million β€” more than half the market.

When a well-priced home hit this range, it rarely made it past the first weekend of showings, making speed and preparedness essential heading into the new year as we expect this trend to continue.

LBI For Sale Image

Seller Outlook

With buyers' attention shifting toward the holidays, December is historically the lowest-inventory month of the year for new listings β€” and for that reason, we generally don’t recommend listing at this time. If you’re considering selling, it usually makes sense to wait until the new year, when buyer activity begins to increase.

That said, if you are looking to sell your home as soon as possible, there is still enough demand in today’s market to possibly achieve fair market value this month. Even with the holiday slowdown, inventory remains extremely limited, and motivated buyers continue to engage when well-positioned homes become available.

And if you’re thinking about listing in early 2026, December is an excellent month to get your ducks in a row β€” power wash, declutter, handle small repairs, tidy up storage areas, and prepare the home for photos and showings. It’s also the ideal time to finalize a listing plan, pricing strategy, and timeline so you’re ready to launch strong once the market reactivates after the new year.

The Spring 2026 market will be one to watch closely. Since COVID, each Spring has brought lower-than-normal new listing activity, keeping supply tight and favoring sellers. But with this Fall coming in noticeably soft, it remains to be seen whether we’ll finally see an increase in listings this Spring β€” or if the island continues following the pattern of the past few years.

LBI Market Chart

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